Abstract
Under the background of climate warming, the distribution pattern of
snowpack in mountainous areas is naturally under the focus of attention,
and the changes in the snowpack pattern in mountainous areas have
important impacts on hydrological processes such as downstream river
runoff, water supply, and so on. In this study, based on the MODIS
day-by-day cloud-free snowpack area dataset, we analysed the process of
stable snowpack formation and the final pattern of snowpack in spring
and winter in two typical topographic regions, the hilly plateau and the
alpine valley region, in the eastern part of the Tibetan Plateau, and
constructed a model based on the Maximum Entropy Model (MEM) method for
predicting the influencing factors of the stable snowpack. A model was
constructed based on the maximum entropy model method to predict the
factors influencing the stable snowpack, and the dominant factors of the
stable snowpack in spring and winter in the watersheds of the two
topographic regions were analysed. The main conclusions are as follows:
(1) The snow ablation rate on the western Sichuan Plateau is different
in winter and spring, and is greater in spring than in winter; there is
also a difference in the snow ablation rate in different topographic
regions, with a greater difference in the hilly plateau than in the high
mountain valleys. (2) The distribution pattern of stable snow in the two
major terrain areas of the Western Sichuan Plateau varies in seasons,
and the spatial distribution area is relatively small, mostly showing a
rising trend with increasing altitude. (3) The influence factors of
stable snowpack in different terrain areas in different seasons are
different, and elevation is the main factor influencing the distribution
pattern of stable snowpack. The results of this paper have some
reference value for the study of snow hydrology in the climatic context
of the Western Sichuan Plateau.