Characteristics and mechanism of lake water changes in the Tianshan
region during 2002-2022
Abstract
The variations in the lake water storage in the Tianshan region are an
important indicator of climate change and play a key role in
understanding the hydrological mass balance. Based on altimetry and
satellite gravity, we investigated the spatiotemporal characteristics of
the lake water storage changes during 2002–2022, and examined the
contributions and proportions of all of the hydrological components to
the mass balance. The results indicate that the total water storage of
the lake complex showed an increasing rate (0.73±0.10 Gt/a). We found
two abrupt wet periods in 2010 and 2016 (the regional total mass
increased by 65.73 Gt and 67.35 Gt, respectively), which were reflected
not only by the lake water storage but also by the soil moisture, snow
water, and even GNSS displacement fields. Compared with their
contributions to the mass (22% and 14%), the variations in lake area
were remarkably slight (0.01% and 0.014%). Among the hydrological
components, the soil moisture played a dominant role, and the
contribution of the snow accumulation changes was also considerable. The
mass anomalies were closely related to the precipitation caused by the
increase of water vapor content, which was further associated with the
occurrence of ENSO events (r=0.55, p<0.01). The results
revealed that the long-term trend of the GNSS vertical displacements
exhibited a better stability after the load correction was applied,
which could reflect the long-term ground deformation more accurately.
This study contributes to our understanding of the complex hydrological
and tectonic processes in the Tianshan region.