Developing a Multivariate Agro-Meteorological Index to Improve Capturing
Onset and Persistence of Droughts Utilizing Vapor Pressure Deficit (VPD)
and Soil Moisture
Abstract
Drought is associated with adverse environmental and societal impacts
across various regions. Therefore, drought monitoring based on a single
variable may lead to unreliable information, especially about the onset
and persistence of drought. Previous studies show vapor pressure deficit
(VPD) data can detect drought onset earlier than other drought
indicators such as precipitation. On the other hand, Soil Moisture is a
robust indicator for assessing drought persistence. This study
introduces a nonparametric multivariate drought index Vapor Pressure
Deficit Soil moisture standardized Drought Index (VPDSDI) which is
developed by combining vapor pressure deficit (VPD) with soil moisture
information. The performance of the multivariate index in terms of
drought onset detection is compared with the Standardized Precipitation
Index (SPI) for six major drought events across the United States
including three flash drought events and three conventional drought
events. Additionally, the performance of the proposed index in detecting
drought persistence is compared with the Standardized Soil moisture
Index (SSI), which is an agricultural drought index. Results indicate
the multivariate index detects drought onset always earlier than SPI for
conventional events, but VPDSDI detects drought onset earlier than or
about the same time as SPI for flash droughts. In terms of persistence,
VPDSDI detects persistence almost identical to SSI for both flash and
conventional drought events. The results also show that combining VPD
with soil moisture reduces the high variability of VPD and produces a
smoother index which improves the onset and persistence detection of
drought events leveraging VPD and soil moisture information.