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Flawed Emergency Intervention: Slow Ocean Response to Abrupt Stratospheric Aerosol Injection
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  • Daniel Pflüger,
  • Claudia Elisabeth Wieners,
  • Leo van Kampenhout,
  • René Wijngaard,
  • Henk A. Dijkstra
Daniel Pflüger
Utrecht University

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Claudia Elisabeth Wieners
Utrecht University
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Leo van Kampenhout
Utrecht University
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René Wijngaard
Utrecht University
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Henk A. Dijkstra
Institute for Marine and Atmospheric research Utrecht
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Abstract

Given the possibility of irreversible, anthropogenic changes in the climate system, technologies such as solar radiation management (SRM) are sometimes framed as possible emergency interventions. However, little knowledge exists on the efficacy of such  deployments. To fill in this gap, we perform Community Earth System Model 2 (CESM 2) simulations of an intense warming scenario on which we impose gradual early-century SRM or rapid late-century cooling (an emergency intervention), both realised via stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI). While both scenarios cool Earth's surface, ocean responses differ drastically. Rapid cooling fails to release deep ocean heat content or restore an ailing North Atlantic deep convection but partially stabilizes the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. In contrast, the early intervention effectively mitigates changes in all of these features. Our results suggest that slow ocean timescales impair the efficacy of some SAI emergency interventions.
07 Feb 2024Submitted to ESS Open Archive
08 Feb 2024Published in ESS Open Archive