Development and Application of Artificial Neural Network Model for
Optimal Operation of a Reservoir System Towards Meeting Irrigation
Demands
Abstract
Nine different ANN models are developed for the Kangsabati reservoir,
India with a various sets of input and target variables. A three-layer
fully connected feed forward multilayer network is used for all models.
As for the input and target dataset required for training of each model,
optimal solutions obtained from the deterministic DP model with
generated inflow sequences are used. Back propagation algorithm is used
during training. Regression parameters obtained from training under each
model, are used to identify the better model. For this purpose, a new
parameter $\phi$ is defined to select the best model
performed. Simulation is done using the observed inflow record of 32
years, resulting nine monthly release policies which are compared with
the release policy obtained from conventional DP and through error
analysis in terms of statistical parameters. Finally, the best model is
selected. The performance of the selected model is analysed by Monthly
surplus/deficit plot in Kharif \& Rabi season. Overall,
the performance of the selected ANN Model is satisfactory and acceptable
as an optimising model for reservoir operation.