Mesospheric temperature and circulation response to the Hunga
Tonga-Hunga-Ha'apai volcanic eruption
Abstract
The Hunga Tonga Hunga-Ha’apai (HTHH) volcanic eruption on 15 January
2022 injected water vapor and SO2 into the stratosphere. Several months
after the eruption, significantly stronger westerlies, and a weaker
Brewer-Dobson circulation developed in the stratosphere of the Southern
Hemisphere and were accompanied by unprecedented temperature anomalies
in the stratosphere and mesosphere. In August 2022 the Sounding of the
Atmosphere using Broadband Emission Radiometry (SABER) satellite
instrument observed record-breaking temperature anomalies in the
stratosphere and mesosphere that alternate signs with altitude. Ensemble
simulations carried out with the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate
Model (WACCM6) indicate that the strengthening of the stratospheric
westerlies explains the mesospheric temperature changes. The stronger
westerlies cause stronger westward gravity wave drag in the mesosphere,
accelerating the mesospheric mean meridional circulation. The stronger
mesospheric circulation, in turn, plays a dominant role in driving the
changes in mesospheric temperatures. This study highlights the impact of
large volcanic eruptions on middle atmospheric dynamics and provides
insight into their long-term effects in the mesosphere. On the other
hand, we could not discern a clear mechanism for the observed changes in
stratospheric circulation. In fact, an examination of the WACCM ensemble
reveals that not every member reproduces the large changes observed by
SABER. We conclude that there is a stochastic component to the
stratospheric response to the HTHH eruption.