Rising coastal groundwater as a result of sea-level rise will influence
contaminated coastal sites and underground infrastructure
Abstract
Sea-level rise (SLR) will cause coastal groundwater to rise in many
coastal urban environments. Inundation of contaminated soils by
groundwater rise (GWR) will alter the physical, biological, and
geochemical conditions that influence the fate and transport of existing
contaminants. These transformed products can be more toxic and/or more
mobile under future conditions driven by SLR and GWR. We reviewed the
vulnerability of contaminated sites to GWR in a US national database and
in a case comparison with the San Francisco Bay region to estimate the
risk of rising groundwater to human and ecosystem health. The results
show that 326 sites in the US Superfund program may be vulnerable to
changes in groundwater depth or flow direction as a result of SLR,
representing 18.1 million hectares of contaminated land. In the San
Francisco Bay Area, we found that GWR is predicted to impact twice as
much land area as inundation from SLR, and 5,282 additional
state-managed sites of contamination may be vulnerable to inundation
from GWR in a 1.0 m SLR scenario. Increases of only a few centimeters of
elevation can mobilize soil contaminants, alter flow directions in a
heterogeneous urban environment with underground pipes and utility
trenches, and result in new exposure pathways. Pumping for flood
protection will elevate the saltwater interface, changing groundwater
salinity and mobilizing metals in soil. Socially vulnerable communities
are disproportionately exposed to this risk at both the national scale
and in a regional comparison with the San Francisco Bay Area.