Ionospheric Disturbances generated by the 2015 Calbuco Eruption:
Comparison of GITM-R simulations and GNSS observations
Abstract
Volcanic eruptions provide broad spectral forcing to the atmosphere and
many previous studies have examined the IT disturbances caused by
volcanic eruptions through both observations and modeling. Understanding
the primary mechanisms that are relevant to explain the variety in
waveform characteristics is still an important open question for the
community. In this study, Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS)
Total Electron Content (TEC) data are analyzed and compared to
simulations performed by the Global Ionosphere-Thermosphere Model with
Local Mesh Refinement (GITM-R) for the first phase of the 2015 Calbuco
eruption that occurred on 22 April. A simplified source representation
and spectral acoustic-gravity wave (AGW) propagation model are used to
specify the perturbation at the lower boundary of GITM-R at 100 km
altitude. This modeling specification shows a good agreement with GNSS
observations for some waveform characteristics such as travel/onset
times and relative magnitudes. Most notably, GITM-R is able to reproduce
the significance of AGWs as a function of radial distance from the vent,
showing acoustic dominant forcing in the near field (<500 km)
and gravity dominant forcing in the far-field (>500 km).
The estimated apparent phase speeds from GITM-R simulations are
consistent with observations with ~10% difference from
observation for both acoustic wave packets and a trailing gravity mode.
Relevance of the simplifications made in the lower atmosphere are then
discussed and test changes to the assumed propagation structure, from
direct propagation to ground-coupled propagation, show some improvement
to the data-model comparison, especially the second acoustic wave-packet