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High- and low-emissions scenario projections of the Southern Hemisphere storm track
  • Isaac Campbell,
  • James Arthur Renwick
Isaac Campbell
Te Herenga Waka - Victoria, University of Wellington

Corresponding Author:isaac.campbell6@googlemail.com

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James Arthur Renwick
Victoria University of Wellington
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The Southern Hemisphere storm track is a key component of the Earth's global circulation patterns, with a prominent role in the movement of heat and momentum across the mid-latitudes, and a controlling influence over the behaviour of synoptic eddies. Storm track characteristics are expected to change with anthropogenic forcings, leading to changes in regional weather patterns, and impacting communities through its influence on extreme events. We document projected storm track climatologies at the end of the 21st century under high- and low-emissions scenarios using the CMIP6 generation of models. We find previously described projections -- the poleward migration of the storm track, and intensification of storm activity -- persist in CMIP6. We explore projections of spatio-temporal variability of the Southern Annular Mode, and consequences for the storm track.
10 May 2023Submitted to ESS Open Archive
13 May 2023Published in ESS Open Archive