The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a key feature of the North Atlantic with global ocean impacts. The AMOC’s response to past changes in forcings during the Holocene provides important context for the coming centuries. Here, we investigate AMOC trends using an emerging set of transient simulations using multiple global climate models for the past 6,000 years. We find no consistent changes in the overall AMOC strength across the simulations, which conforms with reconstructions assimilating proxy records. Similarly, the decadal variability of the AMOC does not change during the mid- and late-Holocene. There are interesting AMOC changes seen in the early Holocene, but their nature depends a lot on which inputs are used to drive the experiment.

The Eocene (56–34 million years ago) is characterised by declining sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the low latitudes (~4°C) and high southern latitudes (~8-11°C), in accord with decreasing CO2 estimates. However, in the mid-to-high northern latitudes there is no evidence for surface water cooling, suggesting thermal decoupling between northern and southern hemispheres and additional non-CO2 controls. To explore this further, we present a multi-proxy (Mg/Ca, δ18O, TEX86) SST record from the western North Atlantic (~36°N paleolatitude). Our data confirm a long-term decline in SSTs of ~5°C between the early (~53 Ma) and the middle (~42 Ma) Eocene, supporting declining atmospheric CO2 as the primary mechanism of Eocene cooling. However, from the middle Eocene onwards, North Atlantic zonal temperature gradients are decoupled, which we attribute to the incursion of warmer waters into the eastern North Atlantic and the inception of Northern Component Water across the early-middle Eocene transition.