Weddell Sea control of ocean temperature variability on the western
Antarctic Peninsula
Abstract
Recent ice loss on the western Antarctic Peninsula has been driven by
warming ocean waters on the continental shelf. However, due to the short
observational record, our understanding of the dynamics and variability
in this region remains poor. High-resolution ocean model simulations
show that the temperature variability along the western Antarctic
Peninsula is controlled by the rate of dense water formation in the
Weddell Sea. Passive tracer advection reveals connectivity between the
Weddell Sea and the coastline of the western Antarctic Peninsula and
Bellingshausen Sea. During multi-year periods of weak Weddell dense
water formation, dense overflow transport in the Weddell Sea decreases,
while the transport of cold water around the tip of the Antarctic
Peninsula strengthens, driving a temperature decrease of 0.4oC along the
western Antarctic Peninsula. This mechanism implies that western
Antarctic Peninsula coastal ocean temperature may cool in the future if
Weddell Dense Shelf Water production slows down.