Inter-basin versus intra-basin sea surface
temperature forcing of the Western North Pacific subtropical high’s
westward extensions
Abstract
Zonal extensions of the Western Pacific
subtropical high (WPSH) strongly modulate extreme rainfall activity and
tropical cyclone (TC) landfall over the Western North Pacific (WNP)
region. On seasonal timescales, these zonal extensions are forced
primarily by inter-basin zonal sea surface temperature (SST) gradients.
However, despite the presence of large-scale zonal SST gradients, the
WPSH’s response to SSTs varies from year to year. In this study, we
force the atmosphere-only NCAR Community Earth System Model version 2
simulations with two real-world SST patterns, both featuring the
large-scale zonal SST gradient characteristic of decaying El
Niño/developing La Niña
summers. For each of these patterns, we perform four experimental sets
that test the relative contributions of the tropical Indian Ocean,
Pacific, and Atlantic basin SSTs to simulated westward extensions over
the WNP during June-August. Our results indicate that the subtle
differences between the two SST anomaly patterns belie two different
mechanisms forcing the WPSH’s westward extensions. In one SST pattern,
the extratropical North Pacific SST forcing suppresses the tropical
Pacific zonal SST gradient forcing, resulting in tropical Atlantic and
Indian Ocean SST warming being the main drivers of the Walker
Circulation. With an adjacent SST pattern, subsidence over the WNP is
driven predominantly by intra-basin Pacific SST forcing. The results of
this study have implications for understanding and predicting the impact
of the WPSH’s zonal variability on tropical cyclones and extreme
rainfall over the WNP.