Abstract
Decades of seismological observations have highlighted the variability
of foreshock occurrence prior to natural earthquakes, making thus
difficult to track how earthquakes start. Here, we report on three
stick-slip experiments performed on cylindrical samples of Indian
metagabbro under upper crustal stress conditions (30-60 MPa). Acoustic
emissions (AEs) were continuously recorded by 8 calibrated acoustic
sensors during the experiments. Seismological parameters of the detected
AEs (-8.8 <= Mw <= -7 ) follow the scaling law
between moment magnitude and corner frequency that characterizes natural
earthquakes. AE activity always increases towards failure and is found
to be driven by along fault slip velocity. The stacked AE foreshock
sequences follow an inverse power-law of the time to failure (inverse
Omori), with a characteristic Omori time c inversely proportional to
normal stress and nucleation length. AEs moment magnitudes increase
towards failure, as manifested by a decrease in b-value from
~ 1 to ~ 0.5 at the end of the
nucleation process. During nucleation, the averaged distance of
foreshocks to mainshock continuously decreases, highlighting the fast
migration of foreshocks towards the mainshock epicenter location, and
stabilizing at a distance from the latter compatible with the predicted
Rate-and-State nucleation size. Finally, the seismic component of the
nucleation phase is orders of magnitude smaller than that of its
aseismic component, which suggests that foreshocks are the byproducts of
a process almost fully aseismic. Seismic/aseismic energy release ratio
continuously increases during nucleation, which starts as a fully
aseismic process and evolves towards a cascading process.