Abstract
Severe convection, responsible for hazards such as tornadoes, flash
floods, and hail, is usually preceded by abundant Convective Available
Potential Energy (CAPE). In this work, we use a Lagrangian approach to
study how anomalously large values of CAPE build up in various regions.
Nearly all extreme values of CAPE arise from surface fluxes underneath a
capping inversion over several diurnal cycles, but the origin of the
capping inversion and the diurnal cycle of surface fluxes differ around
the world. In some regions, such as North America and Europe, the air
above the boundary layer must be much warmer than usual to form this
capping inversion, while in other regions, especially the Middle East
and Central Africa, a capping inversion is common.
Additionally, high CAPE occurrences that are over land (those in the
Americas, Europe, Africa, and East Asia) tend to lose their capping
inversions before the time of maximum CAPE due to large diurnal cycles
of sensible heating, while those that occur over coastal waters (in the
Middle East, Northern Australia, South Asia, and the Mediterranean)
usually retain a substantial capping inversion. Uniquely, CAPE in
Southeast Australia often builds up due to cooling aloft rather than to
boundary layer warming. These results show that one hoping to understand
or predict CAPE patterns must understand a variety of mechanisms acting
in different regions.