Understanding the mechanisms for tropical surface impacts of the
quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO)
Abstract
This study evaluates the main hypotheses to explain a coupling between
the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) in the tropical stratosphere and
the tropical troposphere and surface. The impact of the QBO on tropical
convection and precipitation is investigated through nudging experiments
using the UK Met Office Hadley Centre Unified Model (UM). The model
control simulations show robust links between the internally generated
QBO and tropical precipitation and circulation. The model zonal wind in
the tropical stratosphere was nudged above 90 hPa in atmosphere-only and
coupled ocean-atmosphere configurations. The simulation of convection
and precipitation in the atmosphere-only simulations is not
statistically significantly different between the experiments with and
without nudging, which may indicate that SST-convection coupling is
needed for any QBO influence on the tropical lower troposphere and
surface. In the coupled experiments, the precipitation and SST
relationships with the QBO phase disappear when nudging is applied.
Evidence from the nudging experiments shows that the QBO influence over
lower stratospheric static stability is not sufficient to produce
tropical surface impacts. The nudging also reduced the influence of the
lower troposphere to the upper branch of the Walker circulation,
irrespective of the QBO, indicating that the upper troposphere has been
slightly decoupled from the surface by the nudging. These results
suggest that nudging all grid-points might mute relevant feedback
processes, including high cloud radiative effects and wave mean flow
interactions, occurring at the tropopause level.