Atmospherically Driven Seasonal and Interannual Variability in the
Lagrangian Transport Time Scales of a Multiple-inlet Coastal System
Abstract
Intense short-term wind events can flush multiple-inlet systems and even
renew the water entirely. Nonetheless, little is known about the effect
of wind variations at seasonal and interannual scales on the flushing of
such systems. Here, we computed two Lagrangian transport time scales
(LTTS), the residence and exposure times, for a multiple-inlet system
(the Dutch Wadden Sea) over 36 years using a realistic numerical model
simulation. Our results reveal pronounced seasonal and interannual
variability in both system-wide LTTS. The seasonality of the LTTS is
strongly anti-correlated to the wind energy from the prevailing
directions, which are from the southwesterly quadrant and coincidentally
aligned with the geographical orientation of the system. This wind
energy, which is stronger in autumn-winter than in spring-summer,
triggers strong flushing (and hence low values of the LTTS) during
autumn-winter. The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the Scandinavia
Pattern (SCAN) are shown to be the main drivers of interannual
variability in the local wind and, ultimately, in both LTTS. However,
this coupling is much more efficient during autumn-winter when these
patterns show larger values and variations. During these seasons, a
positive NAO and a negative SCAN induce stronger winds in the prevailing
directions, enhancing the flushing efficiency of the system. The
opposite happens during positive SCAN and negative NAO, when weaker
flushing during autumn-winter is observed. Thus, large-scale atmospheric
patterns strongly affect the interannual variability in flushing and are
potential drivers of the long-term ecology and functioning of
multiple-inlet systems.