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The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) recharge oscillator conceptual model : achievements and future prospects
  • +26
  • Jérôme Vialard,
  • Fei Fei Jin,
  • Michael J. McPhaden,
  • Alexey Fedorov,
  • Wenju Cai,
  • Soon-Il An,
  • Dietmar Dommenget,
  • Xianghui Fang,
  • Malte Fabian Stuecker,
  • Chunzai Wang,
  • Andrew T. Wittenberg,
  • Sen Zhao,
  • Fangyu Liu,
  • Soong-Ki Kim,
  • Yann Yvon Planton,
  • Tao Geng,
  • Matthieu Lengaigne,
  • Antonietta Capotondi,
  • Nan Chen,
  • Licheng Geng,
  • Shineng Hu,
  • Takeshi Izumo,
  • Jong-Seong Kug,
  • Jing-Jia Luo,
  • Shayne McGregor,
  • Bastien Pagli,
  • Priyamvada Priya,
  • Samantha Stevenson,
  • Sulian Thual
Jérôme Vialard
IRD

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Fei Fei Jin
University of Hawaii at Manoa
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Michael J. McPhaden
NOAA/PMEL
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Alexey Fedorov
Yale University
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Wenju Cai
Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO)
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Soon-Il An
Yonsei University
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Dietmar Dommenget
Monash University
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Xianghui Fang
Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences & Institute of Atmospheric Sciences, Fudan University
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Malte Fabian Stuecker
University of Hawaii at Manoa
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Chunzai Wang
State Key Laboratory of Tropical Oceanography, South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences
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Andrew T. Wittenberg
NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory
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Sen Zhao
University of Hawaii at Manoa
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Fangyu Liu
LOCEAN / Sorbonne University
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Soong-Ki Kim
Yonsei University
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Yann Yvon Planton
Monash University
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Tao Geng
Ocean Univerisity of China
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Matthieu Lengaigne
MARBEC
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Antonietta Capotondi
University of Colorado/CIRES and NOAA/PSL
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Nan Chen
University of Wisconsin-Madison
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Licheng Geng
University of Hawaii at Manoa
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Shineng Hu
Duke University
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Takeshi Izumo
IRD/EIO
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Jong-Seong Kug
Seoul National University
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Jing-Jia Luo
Nanjing University of Science Information and Technology
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Shayne McGregor
Monash University
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Bastien Pagli
UMR 241 SECOPOL (ex-EIO), IRD-IFREMER-ILM- Université de la Polynésie française, Tahiti, French Polynesia
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Priyamvada Priya
Monash University
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Samantha Stevenson
University of California, Santa Barbara
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Sulian Thual
Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences
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Abstract

The Recharge Oscillator (RO) is a simple mathematical model of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). In its original form, it is based on two ordinary differential equations that describe the evolution of equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature and oceanic heat content. These equations make use of physical principles that operate in nature: (i) the air-sea interaction loop known as the Bjerknes feedback, (ii) a delayed oceanic feedback arising from the slow oceanic response to near-equatorial winds, (iii) state-dependent stochastic forcing from intraseasonal wind variations known as westerly wind bursts (WWBs), and (iv) nonlinearities such as those related to deep atmospheric convection and oceanic advection. These elements can be combined in different levels of RO complexity. The RO reproduces ENSO key properties in observations and climate models: its amplitude, dominant timescale, seasonality, and warm/cold phases amplitude asymmetry. We discuss the RO in the context of timely research questions. First, the RO can be extended to account for ENSO pattern diversity (with events that either peak in the central or eastern Pacific). Second, the core RO hypothesis that ENSO is governed by tropical Pacific dynamics is discussed from the perspective of influences from other basins. Finally, we discuss the RO relevance for studying ENSO response to climate change, and underline that accounting for ENSO diversity, nonlinearities, and better links of RO parameters to the long term mean state are important research avenues. We end by proposing important RO-based research problems.
25 Jul 2024Submitted to ESS Open Archive
25 Jul 2024Published in ESS Open Archive