Abstract
Constructed flood mitigation and drainage systems are integral to the
development of many estuarine floodplains. These systems function
throughout the tidal range, protecting from high water levels while
draining excess catchment flows to the low water level. However,
drainage can only be achieved under gravity when suitable water levels
are available for discharge. Changes to the tidal range and symmetry
that occur throughout estuarine waters mean that the window of
opportunity for gravity discharge will vary dynamically within and
between different catchments. It will also be affected by sea level rise
(SLR). Concerns regarding the impacts of SLR have focussed on the acute
effects of higher water levels, but SLR will affect the full tidal range
and drainage systems will be particularly vulnerable to changes in the
low tide. This study introduces the concept of the “drainage window”;
to assess how the tidal regime may influence the drainage of estuarine
floodplains, and particularly the potential impact of changing tidal
regimes under SLR. The results of applying the drainage window to two
different estuaries indicate that SLR may substantially reduce the
opportunity for discharging many estuarine floodplain drainage systems.
Additionally, measures proposed to mitigate flood risks may exacerbate
drainage risks. Reduced drainage creates a host of chronic problems that
may necessitate changes to existing land uses. A holistic assessment of
future changes to all water levels (including low tide water levels) is
required to inform strategic land use planning and management.