Abstract
Land reclamations influence the morphodynamic evolution of estuaries and
tidal basins, because altered planform changes tidal dynamics and
associated residual sediment transport.
The morphodynamic response time to land reclamation is long, impacting
the system for decades to centuries.
Other human interventions (e.g., deepening of fairways or port
construction) add a morphodynamic adaptation timescale to a system that
may still adapt as the result of land reclamations.
Our understanding of the cumulative effects of anthropogenic
interference with estuaries is limited, because observations usually do
not cover the complete morphological adaptation period.
We aim to assess the impact of land reclamation works and other human
interventions on an estuarine system by means of digital reconstructions
of historical morphologies of the Ems Estuary over the past 500 years.
Our analysis demonstrates that the intertidal-subtidal area ratio
altered due to land reclamation works and that the ratio partly restored
after land reclamation ended.
The land reclamation works have led to the degeneration of an ebb- and
flood channel system, transitioning the estuary from a multichannel to a
single-channel system.
We infer that the 20th-century intensification of channel dredging and
re-alignment works accelerated rather than cause this development.
The centennial-scale observations suggest that estuarine systems
responding to land reclamations follow the evolutionary trajectory
predicted by tidal asymmetry-based stability theory as they move towards
a new equilibrium configuration with modified tidal flats and
channels.
Existing estuarine equilibrium theory, however, fails in linking
multichannel stability to the loss of intertidal area, emphasizing the
need for additional research.