Abstract
Land reclamations influence the morphodynamic evolution of estuaries and
tidal basins, because an altered planform changes tidal dynamics and
associated residual sediment transport. The morphodynamic response time
to land reclamation is long, impacting the system for decades to
centuries. Other human interventions (e.g., deepening of fairways or
port construction) will add more morphodynamic adaptation timescales.
Our understanding of the cumulative effects of anthropogenic
interference with estuaries is limited because observations usually do
not cover the complete morphological adaptation period. We aim to assess
the impact of land reclamation works and other human interventions on an
estuarine system by means of digital reconstructions of historical
morphologies of the Ems Estuary over the past 500 years. Our analysis
demonstrates that the intertidal-subtidal area ratio altered due to land
reclamation works and that the ratio partly restored after land
reclamation ended. The land reclamation works have led to the
degeneration of an ebb and flood channel system, transitioning the
estuary from a multichannel to a single-channel system. We infer that
the 20th-century intensification of channel dredging and re-alignment
works accelerated rather than caused this development. The
centennial-scale observations show that the Ems estuary evolution
corresponds to a land reclamation response following tidal
asymmetry-based stability theory as it moves towards a new equilibrium
configuration with modified tidal flats and channels. Considering the
long history of land reclamation in the Ems Estuary, it provides an
analogy for expected developments in comparable tidal systems where land
reclamations were recently carried out