Evaluating spatial and temporal dynamics of river-floodplain
connectivity using hydrometric, geochemical and microbial indicators.
Abstract
Water-mediated linkages that connect landscape components are
collectively referred to as hydrologic connectivity. In river-floodplain
systems, quantifying hydrologic connectivity enables descriptions of
hydrologic function that emerge from complex, heterogeneous interactions
of underlying geomorphic, climatic and biologic controls. Here, we
measure hydrologic connectivity using field indicators and develop a
continuous connectivity metric that represents a vector strength between
a source along the North St Vrain river to ten surface water target
sites within the river-floodplain system. To measure this connectivity
strength, we analyzed hydrometric, injected conservative tracers, and
natural occurring geochemical and microbial indicators across
streamflows in 2018. We developed empirical models of hydrologic
connectivity as a function of river stage to predict daily connectivity
strength across multiple floodplain sites for five years between May and
September of 2016-2020. Three sites were either consistently connected
or disconnected to the river, while seven varied across time in their
hydrologic connectivity strength. Of the sites with variable
connectivity, some disconnected very quickly and others had a prolonged
disconnection phase. By scaling site dynamics to the system scale, we
found across-system hydrologic connectivity always increased with
streamflow while across-system variance in hydrologic connectivity
peaked at intermediate streamflow. At sites with intermittent
connections to the river, river stage disconnection thresholds were
variable (308 to 650 mm) and their connectivity dynamics were sensitive
to inter-annual variation in streamflows, suggesting that future
connectivity behavior under climate change will depend on how flow
durations change across a range of flow states.