Role of Environmental Factors in Rapid Intensification and Weakening of
Cyclone Ockhi (2017)
Abstract
In this study, we investigate the oceanic and atmospheric processes that
have contributed to the Rapid Intensification (RI) and Rapid Weakening
(RW) of Cyclone Ockhi using the HYbrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM)
simulations and Global Forecast System (GFS) outputs. The environmental
conditions prevailed before RI showed the presence of thick warm and
fresh waters, ample supply of mid-tropospheric relative humidity, and
moderate wind shear. The intrusion of dry air, strong vertical wind
shear, and unfavourable oceanic conditions annihilated the storm
intensity during the RW stage. Compared to the ocean temperature, the
vertical structure of salinity showed remarkable differences between the
RI and RW locations resulting in contrasting upper-ocean stratification.
The dynamic temperature (T$_{dy}$) under the TC core evolved under
the influence of upper-ocean stratification showed a large drop at RW
compared to RI. T$_{dy}$ provided a better representation of the
ocean’s negative feedback on the rapid intensity changes of TC Ockhi
compared to TCHP, especially for the region like RI, which was primarily
influenced by the salinity stratification. Hence, this study
demonstrates the importance of multi-parameter metric like T$_{dy}$
in the assessment of oceanic feedback to TC and its intensity changes.