Economically Efficient and Environmentally Sustainable Irrigation
Potentials: a Spatially Explicit Global Assessment
Abstract
To satisfy increasing global agricultural demand, the expansion of
irrigation is an important intensification measure. At the same time,
unsustainable water abstractions and cropland expansion pose a threat to
biodiversity and ecosystem functioning. Irrigation potentials are
influenced by local biophysical irrigation water availability and
competition of different water users. Because water abstractions for
various human uses along the river divert the river flow, it is also
important to consider competing water uses when estimating irrigation
potentials. Using a novel river routing routine that considers economic
criteria of water allocation via a productivity ranking of grid cells
and both land and water sustainability criteria, we estimate global
irrigation potentials at a halfdegree spatial resolution. We show that
there are considerable potentials to expand irrigation without harming
the environment, but not necessarily at the places where irrigation is
taking place today. In terms of potentially irrigated areas on current
cropland, 711 Mha could be sustainably irrigated when only considering
biophysical criteria. Of these, only 254 Mha have a yield value gain of
more than 500 USD/ha and would be economically viable to be irrigated.
The open-source data processing routine is a valuable aggregation and
disaggregation tool for the use of hydrological inputs within
land-system models that do not have a highly resolved representation of
land use. The potentials can be aggregated to different simulation level
units (e.g. basin level or country level) while maintaining biophysical
and economic consistency.