Due to an imbalance of incoming and outgoing radiation at the top of the atmosphere, excess heat has been accumulating in Earth’s climate system in recent decades, driving global warming and climatic changes. To date it has not been quantified how much of this excess heat is being used for the melting of ground ice in the terrestrial permafrost region. Here, we diagnose changes in sensible and latent heat contents in the northern terrestrial permafrost region from ensemble simulations of a numerical permafrost model. We find that about 3.9 (+1.5|-1.7) ZJ of heat, of which 1.7 (+1.4|-1.5) ZJ (45%) were used to melt ground ice, were taken up by permafrost from 1980 to 2018. This suggests that permafrost is a persistent heat sink similar in magnitude to other components of the cryosphere that requires an explicit consideration in assessments of the Earth’s energy imbalance.

Deciduous larch is a weak competitor when growing in mixed stands with evergreen taxa but is dominant in many boreal forest areas of Eastern Siberia. However, it is hypothesized that certain factors such as a shallow active layer thickness and high fire frequency favor larch dominance. Our aim is to understand how thermohydrological interactions between vegetation, permafrost, and atmosphere stabilize the larch forests and the underlying permafrost in Eastern Siberia. A tailored version of a one-dimensional land surface model (CryoGrid) is adapted for the application in vegetated areas and used to reproduce the energy transfer and thermal regime of permafrost ground in typical boreal larch stands. In order to simulate the responds of Arctic trees to local climate and permafrost conditions we have implemented a multilayer canopy parameterization originally developed for the Community Land Model (CLM-ml_v0). The coupled model is capable of calculating the full energy balance above, within and below the canopy including the radiation budget, the turbulent fluxes and the heat budget of the permafrost ground under several forcing scenarios. We will present first results of simulations performed for different study sites in larch-dominated forests of Eastern Siberia and Mongolia under current and future climate conditions. Model performance is thoroughly evaluated based on comprehensive in-situ soil temperature and radiation measurements at our study sites.