Impact of burn severity on thermokarst initiation and expansion in
Arctic tundra ecosystems
Abstract
Burn severity influences various biophysical and biogeochemical
processes, and it is projected to increase in the coming decades across
high-latitude ecosystems. However, the impact of burn severity on
thermokarst (e.g., land subsidence after ground ice melting) is not well
understood. We used time-series image analysis to assess the effects of
burn severity and ground ice content on thermokarst processes in the
Noatak National Preserve, northwestern Alaska. To extend the temporal
depth for illustrating fire-thermokarst linkages, we evaluated eight
existing fire indices derived from visible and near-infrared (380-1100
nm) spectral bands and developed burn severity maps of historical fires
using Landsat MSS sensors (operation between 1972-1992). Our results
reveal that tundra fire is a significant factor in creating thermokarst
landforms (p<0.01), and that the magnitude of thermokarst
varies with burn severity levels and ground ice content
(p<0.05). An abrupt increase in thermokarst occurred one year
after fire but the rate of thermokarst decreased after three years. The
area of thermokarst three years after fire was highest in high-severity
burns (385 ± 47 m2 thermokarst area/ha burned area), followed by
moderate- (255 ± 32 m2/ha) and low-severity (201 ± 42 m2/ha) burns.
Ground ice content interacted with burn severity to affect thermokarst;
the area of thermokarst was twice as large in landscapes with high
ground ice (356 ± 67 m2/ha) as in landscapes of low ground ice (167 ± 39
m2/ha) three years after fire. Among the eight fire indices, the Global
Environmental Monitoring Index (GEMI) demonstrates the strongest
correlation with field-based estimates (R2 = 0.8). Burn-severity maps
reconstructed with GEMI reveal that over a 40-year study period,
thermokarst expansion occurred more rapidly in high-severe burns than in
low-severity or unburned areas. Our results suggest that the projected
increase in burn severity may result in abrupt and long-lasting
permafrost degradation in tundra ecosystems with potential consequences
on Arctic carbon stocks.