Solar Flux Dependence of Upper Thermosphere Diurnal Variations: Observed
and Modeled
Abstract
Upper thermosphere mass density over the declining phase of solar cycle
23 are investigated using a day-to-night ratio (DNR) of thermosphere
properties as a metric to evaluate how much relative change occurs
climatologically between day and night. CHAMP observations from
2002-2009, MSIS 2.0 output, and TIEGCM V2.0 simulations are analyzed to
assess their relative response in DNR. The CHAMP observations
demonstrate nightside densities decrease more significantly than dayside
densities as solar flux decreases. This causes a steadily increasing
CHAMP mass density DNR from two to four with decreasing solar flux. The
MSIS 2.0 nightside densities decrease more significantly than the
dayside, resulting in the same trend as CHAMP. TIEGCM V2.0 displays an
opposing trend in density DNR with decreasing solar flux due to dayside
densities decreasing more significantly than nightside densities. A
sensitivity analysis of the two models reveals the TIEGCM V2.0 to have
greater sensitivity in temperature to levels of solar flux, while MSIS
2.0 displayed a greater sensitivity in mean molecular weight. The
pressure DNR from both models contributed the most to the density DNR
value at 400 km. As solar flux decreases, the two models’ estimate of
pressure DNR deviate appreciably and trend in opposite directions. The
TIEGCM V2.0 dayside temperatures during middle-to-low solar flux are too
cold relative to MSIS 2.0. Increasing the dayside temperature values by
about 50 – 100 K and decreasing the nightside temperature slightly
would bring the TIEGCM V2.0 into better agreement with MSIS 2.0 and
CHAMP observations.