Abstract
NASA’s 2021 STV Incubation Study Report lists vertical (horizontal,
geolocation) accuracy as an associated SATM product parameter for all
(most) identified Science and Application Knowledge Gaps. The presented
generalized Polynomial Chaos Expansion (gPCE) based method has wide
ranging applicability to improve positioning, geolocation uncertainty
estimates for all STV disciplines, but is presented for the bathymetric
lidar use case, due to added complexity introduced by wave structure,
roughness, and entry angle. Most LiDARs, though precise, are vulnerable
to position, pointing errors as deviations from the expected principal
axis lead to projection errors on target. While fidelity of
location/pointing solutions can be high, determination of uncertainty
remains relatively basic. Currently, the standard approach is the
calculation of the Total Propagated Uncertainty (TPU), which is often
plagued by simplifying approximations and ignored covariances.
Additionally, uncertainty sources are often exclusively modeled as
Gaussian, inaccurately capturing some variable distributions.
Prominently, wave behavior is better described by Gamma distributions
(which are supported under gPCE). This research addresses specific
knowledge gaps in bathy-LiDAR measurement uncertainty through a more
complete description of total aggregated uncertainties, from system
level to geolocation, by applying a gPCE uncertainty quantification
approach. gPCE intrinsically accounts for covariance between variables
to determine the uncertainty in a measurement, without manually
constructing a covariance matrix, through a surrogate model of system
response. Determining point-wise positioning uncertainty using gPCE is
less computationally expensive than Monte Carlo methods and more
tractable for most dimensionalities of interest (roughly from 3 to 20+).
The method also does not rely on simplifying assumptions used in typical
TPU methods. Additionally, a key attribute of this approach is that
global sensitivity analysis (GSA), after obtaining gPCE coefficients, is
trivial and nearly costless to compute. Furthermore, GSA of system
configurations/uncertainty is a powerful tool to design and develop
LiDAR systems with the measurement requirements integrated into the
design solution.