Abstract
The iris hypothesis suggests a cloud feedback mechanism that a reduction
in the tropical anvil cloud fraction (CF) in a warmer climate may act to
mitigate the warming by enhanced outgoing longwave radiation. Two
different physical processes, one involving precipitation efficiency and
the other focusing on upper-tropospheric stability, have been argued in
the literature to be responsible for the iris effect. In this study,
A-Train observations and reanalysis data are analyzed to assess these
two processes. Major findings are as follows: (1) the anvil CF changes
evidently with upper-tropospheric stability as expected from the
stability iris theory, (2) precipitation efficiency is unlikely to have
control on the anvil CF but is related to mid- and low-level CFs, and
(3) the day and nighttime cloud radiative effects are expected to
largely cancel out when integrated over a diurnal cycle, suggesting a
neutral cloud feedback.