Abstract
The environmental pollution, property losses and casualties caused by
wildfires in California are getting worse by the year. To minimize the
interference of wildfires on economic and social development, and
formulate targeted mitigation strategies, it is imperative to understand
the scale and extent of previous wildfire occurrences. In this study, we
first investigated the temporal distributions of past wildfires in
California divided by size and causes and analyzed the changes observed
in the past two decades against the last century. The trend of wildfires
in different time scales (yearly and monthly), as well as the
distribution of wildfires across different spatial scales
(administrative units, climate divisions in California from 2000 to
2019) were also studied. Furthermore, to extract the significant
variables on the risk of wildfire occurrence, multivariate analyses of
environmental and human-related variables with wildfire densities were
carried out. The results show that the wildfire density distribution of
the burned area in California conforms to the characteristics of the
Pareto distribution. Over the past two decades, the frequency of small
(<500 acres), human-caused wildfires has increased most
rapidly, and they are widely distributed in central and western
California. The wildfire season has lengthened and the peak months have
been advanced from August to July. In terms of the variables related to
the risk of wildfire occurrence, the temperature, vapor pressure
deficit, grass cover, and the distance to roads are crucial. This study
reveals the relationship between environmental and social background
conditions and the spatial-temporal distribution of wildfires, which can
provide a reference for wildfire management, the formulation of future
targeted wildfire emergency plans, and the planning of future land use
in California.