The Stratospheric Diurnal Cycle in COSMIC GPS Radio Occultation Data:
Scientific Applications
Abstract
The diurnal cycle throughout the stratosphere is analyzed by applying
Bayesian interpolation to COSMIC GPS radio occultation (RO) data and
three scientific applications of the analysis are introduced. COSMIC RO
data is the only data set that completely samples the diurnal cycle in
the stratosphere continuously for a decade, providing a unique
opportunity to explore several scientific topics related to the diurnal
cycle in the stratosphere. First, the migrating thermal tides are
analyzed with unprecedented accuracy and precision, with an uncertainty
in the analysis of the vertically propagating tides ranging from 0.1 in
the lower stratosphere to 0.6 K in the upper stratosphere for an
individual month of RO data and the uncertainty in a ten-year
climatological diurnal cycle a factor of 10 less. This enables potential
observational studies of the forcing of the tides in the troposphere and
the stratosphere. Moreover, the mid-latitude trapped tide is found to be
smaller than what is produced by an atmospheric model and lags the model
in phase, a likely consequence of a faulty parameterization of eddy
diffusivity in the upper stratosphere. Second, a clear signal of solar
cycle influence on the diurnal cycle is evident in this analysis, but
whether the cause is the systematic bias of ionospheric residual
associated with RO retrieval or it is an actual atmospheric phenomenon
is less clear. The pattern suggests ionospheric residual is dominant,
but modeling studies will be necessary to address the question. Third,
RO satellites and missions that obtain inadequate coverage of the
diurnal cycle will be biased by under-sampling it, whether or not
sub-sampling weather forecasts is used to removal sampling error. The
analysis of the diurnal cycle in COSMIC RO data can be used to diagnose
the systematic sampling error incurred by incomplete coverage of the
diurnal cycle, which is of the order of 0.2 K for a Metop-based RO
climatology.