Abstract
Hurricane Irma affected the Florida peninsula in September 2017. The
east coast of the peninsula was hit particularly hard: the city of
Jacksonville flooded around the St. Johns River estuary with non-tidal
water levels that exceeded 1.5 m and precipitation that surpassed 20 cm
in 24 hours. This study used observations such as water and wind
velocities, river discharge, and conductivity data to determine whether
compounding forcings influenced flood levels. Results show that flooding
was initiated by a pulse from the ocean and then exacerbated by high
river discharge. The 1-2 punch from the ocean and then the river caused
record flooding, with impacts that lasted through the rest of September.
Peak water levels occurred while hurricane winds were receding, and
river discharge was increasing. Compound flood models should consider
the phase lag between driving processes, as the individual peaks may not
occur simultaneously, yet exacerbate flooding.