Sustainable Research on World Potassium Resource Trade Based on Complex
Network Theory
Abstract
As a national strategic resource, trade activities of potassium
resources(K) have changed its state of ownership. Futures and spot
trading forms in the international market are mainly primary processed
ore and deep-processed products. So, K trade can be replaced by the
potassium salt trade. Its international trade will affect a country’s
strategic resource management, and increase national resource security
risks. Thence, it is necessary to study the evolution of international
trade in K. This paper has constructed a weighted and directed complex
network model of K trade using UN Comtrade 2000-2016 data and analyzed
the scale and activity of international trade of K, trade relations,
trade flow distribution and the importance of countries. By analyzing
the international trade data of K in 224 countries, it is found that
trade is active year by year and K is becoming more significant. From
network density and diameter, resource allocation is more convenient.
The network cluster is growing. It shows that some countries form trade
groups. The correlation coefficient of degrees is less than 0,
indicating that the trade relationship between small and major trade
countries is enhancing. And, the reciprocal coefficient is between 0.1
and 0.35, showing that the trade order is poor. Moreover, it presents a
state that the greater the country’s degree, the smaller the difference
in trade flow distribution. So, resource flows in countries with more
trade relations can promote a balanced distribution of K. Finally, from
countries’ trade influence and hub status, Canada is a leading trade
country, and the US, the Russian Federation, China and Brazil are
trade-led countries. They are the main source of K flows. China, the
Netherlands, the US, France and India are important hubs. So, countries
should strengthen bilateral trade relations. So as to ensure the SD of
international trade in K, major trading countries should focus on the
exploit of K and improve the level of production and processing tech.
Countries should also enhance their hub role to facilitate the flow of
K. China, as a large country in agriculture and K demand, should
increase self-sufficiency to reduce import dependence risks. Besides,
attention should be paid to market changes in major trading countries
and to reducing risks by adding the number of trade countries.