Abstract
Scientists and regulators commonly use benzo[a]pyrene concentrations
to assess cancer risk from complex mixtures of atmospheric polycyclic
aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs). Here, we show that benzo[a]pyrene is a
poor indicator of PAH risk distribution and management: nearly 90% of
cancer risk worldwide results from other PAHs, including unregulated
degradation products of emitted PAHs. We develop and apply a
global-scale atmospheric model and conduct health impact analyses to
estimate human cancer risk from 16 PAHs and their N-PAH degradation
products. We find that benzo[a]pyrene is a minor contributor to the
total cancer risks of PAHs (11%); the remaining risk comes from other
directly-emitted PAHs (73%) and N-PAHs (15%). We show that assessment
and policy-making that relies solely on benzo[a]pyrene exposure
provides misleading estimates of risk distribution, the importance of
chemical processes, and the prospects for risk mitigation. We conclude
that researchers and decision-makers should consider additional PAHs as
well as degradation products.