Spruce Beetle Outbreak Increases Streamflow from Snow-Dominated Basins
in Southwest Colorado, USA
Abstract
Bark beetle outbreaks have impacted over 58 million acres of coniferous
forest in the Western US since 2000, an area slightly larger than the
state of Utah. Most of these beetle-impacted forests are in semi-arid,
snow-dominated headwater catchments that generate a disproportionate
fraction of water supplies. Limited previous studies have shown severe
beetle-kill can cause mixed increases and decreases in streamflow. This
study is the first to empirically explore changes in streamflow
following a recent spruce beetle outbreak in southwest Colorado using a
paired catchment approach. The period following beetle kill (2014-2019)
was 0.95° C warmer and 5.8 cm/year drier than the 21-year period prior
to the disturbance’s peak (1993-2013). There was no change in streamflow
in the control basins after beetle kill. In contrast, post-beetle kill
had 34% higher peak flows on average and consistent predictions of
>14% increases in streamflow in wetter basins and
>20% in drier basins. Our results suggest that higher
streamflows are primarily driven by 44% higher runoff efficiencies
during the snowmelt period. The increased flows due to beetle kill are
occurring at a time when control catchments have unchanged runoff
efficiencies. These findings are the first to clearly show streamflow
increases following extensive spruce beetle kill in watersheds that
contribute water to millions of downstream residents. Moreover, our
findings contrast with evidence of unchanged or decreased streamflow
following mountain pine beetle kill in nearby parts of Colorado,
highlighting the need for better post-disturbance hydrologic predictions
in these important montane forests.