Assessing the recent impact of COVID-19 on carbon emissions from China
using domestic economic data
Abstract
The outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has caused
tremendous loss to human life and economic decline in China. A timely
assessment of COVID-19’s impact on provincial CO emission reductions is
crucial for accurately understanding the degree of reduction and its
implications for mitigation measures. Here, we used gross domestic
product (GDP) and an inventory (CEADs) to estimate the reductions in the
first quarter (Q1) of 2020. We find a reduction of -257.7 Mt CO
(-11.0%) over 2019 Q1. Secondary industry contributed 72.5% of the
total reduction, due largely to lower coal consumption and cement
reduction. At the provincial level, Hubei contributed the most to
reductions. Transportation reduction also made a significant
contribution. One policy implication is advocating working from home and
holding teleconferences to reduce traffic emissions. We provide
provincial reductions as spatial constraints for modeling studies and
further support for both the carbon cycling scientists and policy
makers.