How well do large-eddy simulations and global climate models represent
observed boundary layer structures and low clouds over the summertime
Southern Ocean?
Abstract
Climate models struggle to accurately represent the highly reflective
boundary layer clouds overlying the remote and stormy Southern Ocean. We
use in-situ aircraft observations from the Southern Ocean Clouds,
Radiation and Aerosol Transport Experimental Study (SOCRATES) to
evaluate Southern Ocean clouds in a cloud-resolving large-eddy
simulation (LES) and two coarse resolution global atmospheric models,
the CESM Community Atmosphere Model (CAM6) and the GFDL global
atmosphere model (AM4), run in a nudged hindcast framework. We develop
six case studies from SOCRATES data which span the range of observed
cloud and boundary layer properties. For each case, the LES is run once
forced purely using reanalysis data (‘ERA5-based’) and once strongly
nudged to an aircraft profile (‘Obs-based’). The ERA5-based LES can be
compared with the global models, which are also nudged to reanalysis
data, and is better for simulating cumulus. The Obs-based LES closely
matches an observed cloud profile and is useful for microphysical
comparisons and sensitivity tests, and simulating multi-layer stratiform
clouds. We use two-moment Morrison microphysics in the LES and find that
it simulates too few frozen particles in clouds occurring within the
Hallett-Mossop temperature range. We modify the Hallett-Mossop
parameterization so that it activates within boundary layer clouds and
we achieve better agreement between observed and simulated microphysics.
The nudged GCMs achieve reasonable supercooled liquid water dominated
clouds in most cases but struggle to represent multi-layer stratiform
clouds and to maintain liquid water in cumulus clouds. CAM6 has low
droplet concentrations in all cases and underestimates stratiform
cloud-driven turbulence.