A tsunami generated by a strike-slip event: constraints from GPS and SAR
data on the 2018 Palu earthquake
Abstract
A devastating tsunami struck Palu Bay in the wake of the 28 September
2018 M$_{\mathrm{w}}=7.5$ Palu earthquake
(Sulawesi, Indonesia). With a predominantly strike-slip mechanism, the
question remains whether this unexpected tsunami was generated by the
earthquake itself, or rather by earthquake-induced landslides. In this
study we examine the tsunami potential of the co-seismic deformation. To
this end, we present a novel geodetic dataset of GPS and multiple
SAR-derived displacement fields to estimate a 3D co-seismic surface
deformation field. The data reveal a number of fault bends, conforming
to our interpretation of the tectonic setting as a transtensional basin.
Using a Bayesian framework, we provide robust finite fault solutions of
the co-seismic slip distribution, incorporating several scenarios of
tectonically feasible fault orientations below the bay. These finite
fault scenarios involve large co-seismic uplift (~2 m)
below the bay due to thrusting on a restraining fault bend that connects
the offshore continuation of two parallel onshore fault segments. With
the co-seismic displacement estimates as input we simulate a number of
tsunami cases. For most locations for which video-derived tsunami
waveforms are available our models provide a qualitative fit to leading
wave arrival times and polarity. The modeled tsunamis explain most of
the observed runup. We conclude that co-seismic deformation was the main
driver behind the tsunami that followed the Palu earthquake. Our unique
geodetic dataset constrains vertical motions of the sea floor, and sheds
new light on the tsunamigenesis of strike-slip faults in transtensional
basins.