Increasing Fire Activity in African Tropical Forests is Associated with
Land Use and Climate Change
Abstract
Fires were historically rare in tropical forests of West and Central
Africa, where dense vegetation, rapid decomposition, and high moisture
limit available fuels. However, increasing heat and drought combined
with forest degradation and fragmentation are making these areas more
susceptible to wildfire. We evaluated historical patterns of MODIS
active fires in African tropical forests from 2003-2021. Trends were
mostly positive, particularly in the northeastern and southern Congo
Basin, and were concentrated in areas with high deforestation.
Year-to-year variation of fires was synchronized with increasing
temperature and vapor pressure deficit. There was anomalously high fire
activity across the region during the 2015-2016 El Niño. These results
contrast sharply with the drier African woodlands and savannas, where
fires have been steadily decreasing. Further attention to fires in
African tropical forests is needed to understand their global impacts on
carbon storage and their local implications for biodiversity and human
livelihoods.