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Increasing Fire Activity in African Tropical Forests is Associated with Land Use and Climate Change
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  • Michael Charles Wimberly,
  • Dan Wanyama,
  • Russell Doughty,
  • Helene Peiro,
  • Sean Crowell
Michael Charles Wimberly
University of Oklahoma

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Dan Wanyama
University of Oklahoma
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Russell Doughty
California Institute of Technology
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Helene Peiro
University of Oklahoma
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Sean Crowell
University of Oklahoma
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Abstract

Fires were historically rare in tropical forests of West and Central Africa, where dense vegetation, rapid decomposition, and high moisture limit available fuels. However, increasing heat and drought combined with forest degradation and fragmentation are making these areas more susceptible to wildfire. We evaluated historical patterns of MODIS active fires in African tropical forests from 2003-2021. Trends were mostly positive, particularly in the northeastern and southern Congo Basin, and were concentrated in areas with high deforestation. Year-to-year variation of fires was synchronized with increasing temperature and vapor pressure deficit. There was anomalously high fire activity across the region during the 2015-2016 El Niño. These results contrast sharply with the drier African woodlands and savannas, where fires have been steadily decreasing. Further attention to fires in African tropical forests is needed to understand their global impacts on carbon storage and their local implications for biodiversity and human livelihoods.
07 Sep 2023Submitted to ESS Open Archive
11 Sep 2023Published in ESS Open Archive