Abstract
A data-driven short-term prediction model called the Tiny-RainNet model
is proposed to reduce the cumulative errors caused by multi-step
prediction and the complexity of other models. We attempted to improve
the accuracy of Doppler radar detection of short-term rainfall
prediction using different radar echo maps and numerical model
prediction. Rainfall prediction is a complicated temporal- spatial
problem. Combined with the convolutional neural network in extracting
image context information and the advantages of Bi-directional Long
Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) in processing timing information, 60×10×10
sequential radar echo maps were used as the input of Tiny-RainNet to
predict the rainfall in the next 1 to 2 hours.. The proposed
Tiny-RainNet, with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 9.67 mm/h,
outperformed ConvLSTM, LSTM, FC-LSTM, and AlexNet, whose RMSE is 11.31,
11.50, 14.46, 15.88 mm/h respectively for rainfall prediction.