Abstract
Here, we use idealized climate model simulations to elucidate the
governing processes for eastern African interannual hydroclimate and
vegetation changes and their relationship to the El Niño-Southern
Oscillation (ENSO). Our analysis focuses on Tanzania. In the absence of
ENSO-induced sea surface temperature anomalies in the Tropical Indian
Ocean, El Niño causes during its peak phase negative precipitation
anomalies over Tanzania due to a weakening of the tropical-wide Walker
circulation. Resulting drought conditions increase wildfires and
decrease vegetation cover. Subsequent wetter La Niña conditions reverse
the trend, causing a gradual 1-year-long recovery phase. The 2-year-long
vegetation response in Tanzania can be explained as a double-integration
of local rainfall, which originates from the seasonally-modulated ENSO
Pacific-SST forcing (ENSO Combination mode). In the presence of
interannual TIO SST forcing, the southeast African ENSO precipitation
and vegetation responses are muted due to Indian Ocean warming and the
resulting anomalous upward motion in the atmosphere.