Synchronization between the zonal jet stream and temperature anomalies
leads to the persistence of the January 2019 cold air outbreak in North
America
Abstract
In late January 2019, a severe cold air outbreak brought the coldest
temperatures in over 20 years to Midwestern United States and Eastern
Canada. With a newly developed functional analysis tool namely
multiscale window transform (MWT), and the MWT-based theory of canonical
transfer, it is found, based on the data from National Center for
Environmental Prediction, that the cold surge, though initialized by the
southward migration of the Arctic air mass, is mainly caused by a
synchronization of perturbation temperature and perturbation winds,
which leads to a very strong baroclinic instability, and hence an
explosive growth of available potential energy on the cold surge scale.
The cold event is actually a part of a localized stationary wave train,
sandwiched between two warming centers, respectively over western North
America and over Atlantic. The synchronization can serve as a precursor
for this extremely severe cold surge.