Abstract
This article objectively estimates the spatiotemporal evolution of b
values before and after two large earthquakes during 2000-2019 along the
Longmenshan fault. We apply the Akaike information criterion to
statistically assess the temporal variation in b values and use the b
value time series behavior as a tool to quantify the effect of a
mainshock on the size distribution of aftershocks. The b values in the
source regions exhibited decreasing trends prior to two large
earthquakes on 12 May 2008 ( 8.0) and 20 April 2013 ( 7.0). Moreover,
the times required for the b values to return to a stable state after
both mainshocks were basically equivalent to the times taken for
aftershocks depth images to cease to change visibly (approximately 1
year following the 8.0 event and approximately 10 months following the
7.0 event). Our results have substantial implications for assessing the
hazards of aftershock sequences.