Abstract
We investigate how the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), the dominant
mode of tropical subseasonal variability, modulates the life cycle of
cool-season North Pacific atmospheric rivers (ARs), low-level jets of
intensive poleward moisture transport. When the MJO convection is over
the Indian Ocean, more AR events originate over eastern Asia and fewer
originate over the subtropical northern Pacific. The opposite changes in
the number and location of AR events appear when the MJO convection is
over the western Pacific. Dynamical processes involving anomalous MJO
wind and seasonal mean moisture are found to be dominant factors that
impact AR origins. The anomalous geopotential height pattern of the MJO
can modulate AR propagation directions. The robustness of these MJO-AR
life cycle connections is further supported by model simulations. The
modulation of AR life cycles by the MJO may help to further advance our
understanding of subseasonal predictability and future changes of ARs.