Monitoring shifting cultivation in Laos by combining time series
analysis and object-based analysis
Abstract
Shifting cultivation is an important driver of forest disturbance in the
tropics. However, studies of shifting cultivation are limited and
current area estimates of shifting cultivation are highly uncertain.
Although Southeast Asia is a hotspot of shifting cultivation, there are
no national maps of shifting cultivation in Southeast Asia at moderate
or high resolution (less than or equal to 30 m). Monitoring shifting
cultivation is challenging because the slash-and-burn events are highly
dynamic and small in size. In this research, we present and test an
approach to monitoring shifting cultivation using Landsat data on Google
Earth Engine. CCDC-SMA (Continuous Change Detection and Classification -
Spectral Mixture Analysis) is used to detect forest disturbances. Then,
these disturbances are attributed by combining time series analysis,
object-based image analysis (OBIA), and post-disturbance land-cover
classification. Forest disturbances are assigned to shifting
cultivation, new plantation, deforestation, severe drought, and subtle
disturbance annually from 1991 to 2020 at a 30-meter resolution for the
country of Laos. The major forest disturbances in 1991-2020 are mapped
with an overall accuracy of 85%. Shifting cultivation is mapped with a
producer’s accuracy of 88% and a user’s accuracy of 80%. The margin of
error of the sampling-based area estimate of Shifting cultivation is
5.9%. The area estimates indicate that shifting cultivation is the main
type of forest-disturbance in Laos, affecting 32.9% ± 1.9% of Laos
over the past 30 years. To study the development of shifting cultivation
over time, the area of slash-and-burn events is estimated at 5-year
intervals of 1991-2020 with all margins of error less than 17%. Results
show that the area of slash-and-burn activities in Laos increased in the
most recent 5-year period. We believe that the methods developed and
tested in Laos can be applied to other regions.