Geomagnetically Induced Currents at Middle Latitudes: 1. Quiet-time
Variability
Abstract
Geomagnetically induced currents (GICs) at middle latitudes have
received increased attention after reported power-grid disruptions due
to geomagnetic disturbances. However, quantifying the risk to the
electric power grid at middle latitudes is difficult without
understanding how the GIC sensors respond to geomagnetic activity on a
daily basis. Therefore, in this study the question “Do measured GICs
have distinguishable and quantifiable long- and short-period
characteristics?” is addressed. The study focuses on the long-term
variability of measured GIC, and establishes the extent to which the
variability relates to quiet-time geomagnetic activity. GIC quiet-day
curves (QDCs) are computed from measured data for each GIC node,
covering all four seasons, and then compared with the seasonal
variability of Thermosphere-Ionosphere- Electrodynamics General
Circulation Model (TIE-GCM)-simulated neutral wind and height-integrated
current density. The results show strong evidence that the
middle-latitude nodes routinely respond to the tidal-driven Sq
variation, with a local time and seasonal dependence on the the
direction of the ionospheric currents, which is specific to each node.
The strong dependence of GICs on the Sq currents demonstrates that the
GIC QDCs may be employed as a robust baseline from which to quantify the
significance of GICs during geomagnetically active times and to isolate
those variations to study independently. The QDC-based significance
score computed in this study provides power utilities with a
node-specific measure of the geomagnetic significance of a given GIC
observation. Finally, this study shows that the power grid acts as a
giant sensor that may detect ionospheric current systems.