Interannual and decadal variability of the ice-shelf basal melting in
the Amundsen region, West Antarctica - Focus on the oceanic factors
Abstract
Following observations of a drop in the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS)
mass balance over the last few decades with the possibility to reach a
tipping point leading to ineluctable glaciers outlets instability in the
region, understanding the driving processes has become a priority. In
particular, the Circumpolar Deep Water (CDW) intrusion onto the
continental shelf in the Amundsen Sea is, nowadays, in the spotlight,
and gathers the attention of both the observers and the modellers. This
modelling study presents the analysis of a 1/12° simulation of the
Amundsen Sea sector reproducing well the interannual-to-decadal
variability of the ice-shelves basal melt rates. The development of a
methodology to study the ocean state in the reference frame of the
continental shelf break enables us to distinguish and characterize a
western fresh shelf zone and an eastern warm shelf zone in the region.
Connecting it with the more regional circulation, we try to shed light
on the different mechanisms driving the CDW inflow onto the continental
shelf in the region. In particular, we draw attention to the sea ice
effect in terms of Ekman pumping along the shelf break, and we point out
the possible initiation of a southern Antarctic Circumpolar Current
(ACC) branch to the south-east of the Ross Gyre, which could control
part of the variability along the Amundsen Sea shelf. Finally, we
discuss correlations between the ocean variability at the shelf break
and the one of the melt activity underneath the ice-shelves.