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Overconfidence in climate overshoot
  • +27
  • Carl-Friedrich Schleussner,
  • Gaurav Ganti,
  • Quentin Lejeune,
  • Biqing Zhu,
  • Peter Pfleiderer,
  • Ruben Prütz,
  • Philippe Ciais,
  • Thomas L Frölicher,
  • Sabine Fuss,
  • Thomas Gasser,
  • Matthew J Gidden,
  • Chahan M Kropf,
  • Robin Lamboll,
  • Rosanne Martyr Koller,
  • Fabien Maussion,
  • Jamie W Mccaughey,
  • Malte Meinshausen,
  • Matthias Mengel,
  • Zebedee Nicholls,
  • Yann Quilcaille,
  • Benjamin Sanderson,
  • Sonia Seneviratne,
  • Jana Sillmann,
  • Christopher J Smith,
  • Emily Theokritoff,
  • Rachel Warren,
  • Joeri Rogelj,
  • Fabrice Lacroix,
  • Jeff Price,
  • Norman Steinert
Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Geography Department and IRITHESys Institute, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Climate Analytics

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

Author Profile
Gaurav Ganti
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Geography Department and IRITHESys Institute, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Climate Analytics
Quentin Lejeune
Geography Department and IRITHESys Institute, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Climate Analytics
Biqing Zhu
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climate et de l'Environnement LSCE
Peter Pfleiderer
Research Unit for Sustainability and Climate Risks, University of Hamburg, Climate Analytics
Ruben Prütz
Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change (MCC), Geography Department and IRITHESys Institute, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin
Philippe Ciais
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climate et de l'Environnement LSCE
Thomas L Frölicher
Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern, Switzerland, Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, Department of Environmental Systems Science, University of Bern
Sabine Fuss
Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change (MCC), Geography Department and IRITHESys Institute, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin
Thomas Gasser
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)
Matthew J Gidden
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Climate Analytics
Chahan M Kropf
Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss, Zürich, Switzerland, Department of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland
Robin Lamboll
Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial College London, UK
Rosanne Martyr Koller
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climate et de l'Environnement LSCE, Geography Department and IRITHESys Institute, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Climate Analytics
Fabien Maussion
Department of Atmospheric and Cryospheric Sciences, University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria
Jamie W Mccaughey
Department of Atmospheric and Cryospheric Sciences, ETH Zürich
Malte Meinshausen
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)
Matthias Mengel
Research Unit for Sustainability and Climate Risks, University of Hamburg
Zebedee Nicholls
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)
Yann Quilcaille
Department of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland
Benjamin Sanderson
CICERO, Oslo, Norway
Sonia Seneviratne
Department of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland
Jana Sillmann
Research Unit for Sustainability and Climate Risks, University of Hamburg
Christopher J Smith
School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, UK, Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)
Emily Theokritoff
Geography Department and IRITHESys Institute, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Climate Analytics
Rachel Warren
Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research and School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK
Joeri Rogelj
Grantham Institute for Climate Change and the Environment and Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial College London, London, UK, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)
Fabrice Lacroix
Author Profile
Jeff Price
Author Profile
Norman Steinert
07 Mar 2024Submitted to ESS Open Archive
10 Mar 2024Published in ESS Open Archive