Strain energy transfer by plastic flow in San-in shear zone, Japan:
Shear strain energy change due to out-of-plane inelastic strain
distribution
Abstract
The present study investigated the shear strain energy changes in a
shear zone associated with interseismic plastic deformation and
strike-slip earthquakes. A model of a very long strike-slip fault system
was developed in which deep plastic flow is represented by an inelastic
strain distribution. We derived analytical solutions for displacement
and stress to estimate the changes in the shear strain energy. Applying
this model to the San-in shear zone, Japan, we reproduced the observed
surface velocity distribution by assuming a deep plastic flow with a
horizontal thickness of T = 30 km, vertical thickness of 17 km, and
strain rate of where 9 mm/year. We also found that the deep plastic flow
roughly obeys a simple flow law. By using the stress changes induced by
the deep plastic flow and the background stress estimated by a stress
tensor inversion, we evaluated the changes in shear strain energy
density in the shear zone. The energy at the seismogenic zone increases
by J/m3/year when we assumed a differential stress of 100 MPa. We also
evaluated the energy drop after two large earthquakes (MW 7.0 and 6.6).
The estimated energy drop corresponded to an energy accumulation period
of ~700 to ~1000 years, which is shorter
than the period expected from geological observations.