Permeability and groundwater flow dynamics in deep-reaching orogenic
faults estimated from regional-scale hydraulic simulations
Abstract
Numerical modelling is used to understand the regional scale flow
dynamics of the fault-hosted orogenic geothermal system at the Grimsel
Mountain Pass in the Swiss Alps. The model is calibrated against
observations from thermal springs discharging in a tunnel some 250 m
underneath Grimsel Pass to derive estimates for the bulk permeability of
the fault. Simulations confirm that without the fault as a hydraulic
conductor the thermal springs would not exist. Regional topography alone
drives meteoric water in a single pass through the fault plane where it
penetrates to depths exceeding 10 km and acquires temperatures in excess
of 250 ºC. Thermal constraints from the thermal springs at Grimsel Pass
suggest bulk fault permeabilities in the range of 1.75e-15
m2 – 5.2e-15 m2. Reported residence
times of >30000 years and 7 years for the deep geothermal
and shallow groundwater components in the thermal spring water,
respectively, suggest fault permeabilities of around 2.5e-15
m2. This range of permeabilities estimated from
observational constraints is fully consistent with a subcritical
single-pass flow system in the fault plane. We show that the long
residence time of the deep geothermal water is likely a consequence of
low recharge rates during the last glaciation event in the Swiss Alps
which started some 30 000 years ago. Deep groundwater discharging at
Grimsel Pass today thus infiltrated the Grimsel fault prior to the last
glaciation event.