Is it Possible to Quantify Irrigation Water-Use by Assimilating a
High-Resolution Soil Moisture Product?
Abstract
Irrigation is the largest human intervention in the water cycle that can
modulate climate extremes, yet global irrigation water use (IWU) remains
largely unknown. Microwave remote sensing offers a practical way to
quantify IWU by monitoring changes in soil moisture caused by
irrigation. This study evaluates the ability to quantify IWU by
assimilating high-resolution (1km) SMAP-Sentinel 1 (SMAP-S1) remotely
sensed soil moisture with a physically-based land surface model (LSM)
using a particle batch smoother (PBS). A suite of synthetic experiments
is devised to evaluate different error sources. Results from the
synthetic experimentation show that unbiased simulations with known
irrigation timing can produce an accurate irrigation estimate with a
mean annual bias of 0.45% and the mean R2 of 96.5%,
relative to observed IWU. Unknown irrigation timing can significantly
deteriorate the model performance by increasing the mean annual bias to
23% and decreasing the mean R2 to 36%. In real-world
experiments, the PBS data assimilation approach provides a mean bias of
-18.6% when the timing of irrigation water use is known. This
underestimation is possibly attributable to missing part of the
irrigation signal. Yet, significantly higher irrigation was estimated
over the irrigated pixels compared to the non-irrigated pixels,
indicating that data assimilation can skillfully convey irrigation
signals to LSMs. LSM calibration provides a 10% improvement to soil
moistrue RMSE relative to the open-loop simulation. PBS data
assimilation provides an additional 50% improvement to simulated soil
moisture RMSE by correcting the model state and superimposing the
optimal (unmodeled) irrigation on precipitation forcing.